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Let’s speculate on what might have happened if the USA did not join WW2 when it did.
Above: Spitfire factory. “From July to September [1940], the Luftwaffe's loss records indicate the loss of 1,636 aircraft, 1,184 to enemy action.[256] This represented 47% of the initial strength of single-engined fighters, 66% of twin-engined fighters, and 45% of bombers. This indicates the Germans were running out of aircrew as well as aircraft.[265]”
The UK won the Battle of Britain in 1940 and that winter, Hitler rescinded his order to invade. That means, to me, that the UK would win eventually, with the allies she had in her empire.
By the time the USA became active across the Atlantic, the UK had largely defeated German forces in North Africa:
“The Second Battle of El Alamein (23 October–11 November 1942) was a battle of the Second World War that took place near the Egyptian railway halt of El Alamein. With the Allies victorious, it marked the watershed of the Western Desert Campaign.”
Once the security breach in British naval codes had been fixed and British anti-submarine aircraft began using radar effectively, the life of U-Boats became dramatically short, which helped win the Battle of the Atlantic:
“By spring 1943, the British had developed an effective sea-scanning radar small enough to be carried in patrol aircraft armed with airborne depth charges. Centimetric radar greatly improved interception and was undetectable by Metox. Fitted with it, RAF Coastal Command sank more U-Boats than any other Allied service in the last three years of the war.[56]
“During 1943 U-boat losses amounted to 258 to all causes. Of this total, 90 were sunk and 51 damaged by Coastal Command.[57]”
No matter how helpful was US participation, the Allies would have won. The British had the Enigma machine and the Colossus computer:
“The German submarine U-110, a Type IXB, was captured in 1941 by the Royal Navy, and its Enigma machine and documents were removed. U-559 was also captured by the British in October 1942; three sailors boarded her as she was sinking, and desperately threw all the code books out of the submarine so as to salvage them. Two of them, Able Seaman Colin Grazier and Lieutenant Francis Anthony Blair Fasson, continued to throw code books out of the ship as it went under water, and went down with it. Further code books were captured by raids on weather ships. U-744 was boarded by crew from the Canadian ship HMCS Chilliwack on 6 March 1944, and codes were taken from her, but by this time in the war, most of the information was known.[17]”
Above: University of Birmingham - Poynting Physics Building - blue plaque to physicists Frisch and Peierls. “The Frisch–Peierls memorandum was the first technical exposition of a practical atomic weapon. Written by Otto Frisch and Rudolf Peierls in March 1940 while they were both working at the University of Birmingham in England, the memorandum contained new calculations about the size of the critical mass needed for an atomic bomb, and helped accelerate British and U.S. efforts towards bomb development during World War II.”
I would add to that how Hitler banned the nuclear research needed to make the A-Bomb, while the UK pressed ahead and brought in European scientists such as Niels Bohr:
“Tube Alloys was a codename of the clandestine research and development programme, authorised by the United Kingdom, with participation from Canada, to develop nuclear weapons during the Second World War. Starting before the Manhattan Project in the United States, the British efforts were kept classified and as such had to be referred to by code even within the highest circles of government.” |
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